2010 Tour de France – Stage 18 Wrap-Up & Stage 19 Predictions

2010 Tour de France - Cavendish After Stage 18 Win

Fotoreporter Sirotti

It’s funny how our opinion of certain riders changes during the course of the Tour de France.  It makes sense, though, as the Tour is the sport’s grandest stage, the perfect place for riders to reinvent themselves and careers to be resuscitated —or resurrected.


Take today’s sprint for example: Mark Cavendish won Stage 18 with another incredible display of power and speed—and he did it without the world’s fastest lead-out, Mark Renshaw.  Perhaps more importantly, Cavendish has found success in this year’s Tour with nary a quip, wisecrack, or foot in the mouth.  It appears his early season troubles and first week near-misses have given the youngster a better appreciation of all he accomplished.  And perhaps more importantly, by winning with his mouth shut, he’s enabled his one-time critics—myself included—to appreciate his talents without being distracted by his ego.


2010 Tour de France - Petacchi Reclaims Green Jersey After Stage 18

Fotoreporter Sirotti

And then there’s Alessandro Petacchi, a man on the cusp of winning his first green jersey at the ripe “old” age of 36.  If he does, Petacchi will have won the points jersey in all three grand tours, an impressive achievement.  Unfortunately for Alessandro though, the restoration of his image has been damaged by claims that he used illegal methods to prepare for this year’s event.  Should the allegations prove true, it will mean the end of Petacchi’s career—and just at the moment when he seemed to have kick-started it.


As for Thor Hushovd, he’s all but conceded the green jersey this year, maybe just a smoke screen or perhaps an admission that his talents are no longer suited to the rigors of the green jersey contention.  Whatever the case, look for Thor to start next season with a renewed sense of purpose in the classics; and don’t rule out the likelihood that he ends this year with one as well—in Melbourne at Worlds.


You had to love the composition of the day’s main break—it’s too bad we couldn’t see Matti Breschel, Daniel Oss, Jerome Pineau, and Mathieu Ladagnous fight it out for the win.  Breschel and Oss are two classics stars in the making—as to which Oss’ last-gasp attack can attest.  As for Pineau, it would have been nice to see him leave the Tour with something more than the polka dot jerseys he wore for a time during this year’s race.  And Ladagnous?  Well, another French win is always a welcome sight—especially when it comes wearing FDJ’s sensational new kit.


2010 Tour de France - T. Martin in Prologue

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Looking ahead to tomorrow, I see two main contenders for the time trial: Tony Martin and Fabian Cancellara.  Both have been rumored to be a bit sick of late and both have done a considerable amount of work for their respective teams over the past two days—but I still see them taking the first two spots on the stage.  (Just to be different, I’ll go against the grain with my pick for the win.) To round out the top-3, look for an American to take the honors—not the one most people have been preoccupied with as of late.


2010 Tour de France - Zabriskie in Prologue

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Here’s my top-5:


1. Tony Martin

2. Fabian Cancellara

3. David Zabriskie

4. Alberto Contador

5. Alexandre Vinokourov


Share your picks and comments below.


About Whit

My experiences might easily fit many cycling fans' definitions of “living the dream.” Since getting hooked on the sport watching Lance Armstrong win the 1993 U.S. Pro Championship, I've raced as an amateur on Belgian cobbles, traveled Europe to help build a European pro team, and piloted that team from Malaysia to Mont Ventoux. As a former assistant director sportif with Mercury-Viatel, I've also seen the less dreamy side of the sport – the side rife with broken contracts, infighting, and positive dope tests. These days, I live with my lovely wife in Pennsylvania and share my experiences and views on the sport at Bicycling Magazine, the Embrocation Cycling Journal, and at my own site, Pavé.
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13 Responses to 2010 Tour de France – Stage 18 Wrap-Up & Stage 19 Predictions

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